Saturday, February 15, 2020

Shaheen Bagh - A well planned strategy for Delhi Election

Shaheen Bagh played a very important role in Delhi Assembly elections for all the political parties. Shaheen Bagh is the prime reason for fabulous victory of Aam Aadmi Party which ensured not only defeat of BJP but also making Congress as irrelevant forever.
Let us discuss in detail.
The biggest lie of Shaheen Bagh
Apparently Shaheen Bagh appears to be a place of demonstration against Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA) but reportedly it was part of a larger conspiracy against BJP to ensure victory of Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and also to make BJP busy in National issues and the challenge of CAA across India especially around National Capital Region (NCR) covering entire Delhi which was the battle ground for these elections.
The strategies and formula already tested in WB were used to connect Jamia, JNU and AMU. The planning was done in such a professional manner that it was giving signals of win-win situation to Congress for harvesting Muslim votes who deployed its firebrand leaders like Mani Shankar Aiyar, Shashi Tharoor, Digvijay Singh, Salman Khurshid etc. who delivered poisonous speeches to polarize Muslim votes in favour of Congress. Congress youth brigade led by Rahul and Priyanka were busy in travelling from Jamia to Jantar Mantar and from Shaheen Bagh to India Gate to galvanize Muslim votes. The duo also traveled to different parts of UP to capitalize the protest of CAA in favour of the Congress especially to give immediate benefit in Delhi Elections. The support of many Bollywood personalities was solicited and wherever possible their tours were arranged. Now days Bollywood can visit anywhere to promote their movies. Many Bollywood stars now attend any marriage reception ceremony on payments. The BJP too, was confronting the issues of Jamia, JNU and AMU. They realized much later that it is a part of conspiracy but by that time damage was already done.
Outlines of Shaheen Bagh plan were prepared by none other than Prashant Kumar (PK) who was Election Strategist of Aam Aadmi Party in Delhi. His firm I PAC was engaged by Aam Aadmi Party for Delhi elections. The entire plan was administrated from the War Room of Aam Aadmi Party located in Firoz Shah Kotla road in Delhi. The Congress remain in daydream that it is going to benefit to large extent by the polarization of Muslim votes in Delhi. Probably it is for the first time in the history of Indian elections that Muslim votes were polarized successfully stopping Hindu polarization as reaction thereof. This is a very innovative experiment done in the laboratory of Shaheen Bagh. Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi was right when he mentioned that Shaheen Bagh is not coincidence, it is an experiment.
( Hate speeches at Shaheen Bagh : Sharzeel Imam)
It is now on record that all Muslim candidates of Aam Aadmi Party won their respective seats by record margins. The votes polled to these Muslim candidates are up to the extent of 76% of the total polled votes which underlines the fact that while Muslim polarization was a grand success, Hindu polarization was not evident. Its candidate from Matia Mahal Shoaib Iqbal got 75.96% votes as against BJP candidate who got only 19.24 % votes. A difference of 59.58 % could not have happened, had the Muslim vote not polarize or even otherwise also had the Hindu vote also polarized. Casting 76% votes to a single candidate is itself a record. One of the Muslim candidates in Delhi Assembly elections won his seat by a record margin of 71000 votes as against Manish Sisodia who has reportedly carried out a revolution in the education system of Delhi, suffered a narrow scape and could won by merely 2000 votes. Arvind Kejriwal the icon of AAP and a man of freebies of Delhi could won by 21000 votes. Amanullah Khan, one of the candidates of AAP from Okhla seat of Delhi where Shaheen Bagh is located has given hate speech not once, not twice but many times at Shaheen Bagh and elsewhere in Delhi, won by huge margin, more than the margin of Arvind Kejriwal. What these statistics says?
There are many other things which suggest that Shaheen Bagh has contributed to large extent in the victory of Aam Aadmi Party and the victory of AAP has resulted into happy ending of Shaheen Bagh protest. Just after the results, there were celebrations and protesters were greeted and biryani was distributed.
AAP, a Party which took birth as a byproduct of Anna agitation - the India against corruption, exploited the loop holes of the constitution and the democracy, disturbed the equilibrium of the society, ignoring the core values of the country, using freebies as weapon, orchestrated the episodes and exploited the difficult situation of the country in their favour.
Such innovative and adventurous experiments were never done even by the Congress who had been using the services of many foreign agencies for making election and poll strategies. The current experiment at Shaheen Bagh has opened Pandora's box.
The background of Shaheen Bagh
As you are aware, Prashant Kishor was earlier associated with Bhartiya Janata Party up to Lok Sabha elections in 2014 when BJP received huge victory resulting into formation of Narendra Modi Government the first majority government at the Centre after almost 30 years. It was time when Prashant Kishor desired to enter politics by having senior post in the BJP and expressed his earnest desire to Shri Amit Shah. BJP is a cadre-based party and President, Prime Minister, Vice President, Lok Sabha Speaker, Chief Ministers, many Governors and many Cabinet Ministers have come from rank and files of the party. Lateral recruitments do happen in BJP now a days, however, party does not appoint any lateral recruited leader in party posts. BJP can give tickets for Lok Sabha and Assembly elections and can nominate for Rajya Sabha and Vidhan Parishad but not give party positions due to obvious reason. Thus, Prashant Kishor could not be accommodated. However, later the recommendation of Amit Shah, he was not only admitted in JDU but also appointed as its’ Vice President. Although PK belong to Bihar, but did this not benefit him to the desired extent. He, therefore, continued his work as election strategist for many political parties .His recent contract with Mamata Banerjee in West Bengal raised eyebrows of many in BJP. PK helped Mamata Banerjee in Lok Sabha polls at the cost of irritating the BJP. However, despite his best efforts, BJP dented Mamata Banerji and penetrated in West Bengal by winning 18 out of 42 Lok Sabha seats. In assembly elections in West Bengal Prashant Kishor has been trying hard to ensure victory of Mamata Banerjee and working on many strategies. One of his strategies in West Bengal is to intensify protest CAA and create fear psychosis against NRC. As per his advice Mamata Banerjee is already on the roads leaving no stone unturned to embarrass BJP and corner Narendra Modi. This resulted into very poor relationship between PK and BJP. When Prashant Kishor himself opposed CAA as against the stand taken by his party JDU, he invited anguish from both BJP and JDU. It is said that Amit Shah who was instrumental for his entry into JDU was again instrumental for his expulsion. He has been helping Arvind Kejriwal in Delhi Assembly elections as poll and election strategist through his firm I PAC. In Delhi, the protests in JNU and Jamia were well planned and looped with Sheen Bagh. The selection of Shaheen Bagh spot for protest CAA and connecting it with nationalism was a well thought strategy of Shri Prashant Kishor. Using National Flag and singing National Anthem was a patriotic Tadka. Of course all emotional and sympathy cards were used by including children and old age women.
In last Lok Sabha elections BJP won all 7 seats of Delhi and the remarkable thing was that Muslim women gave overwhelming support to Narendra Modi ( Modi Bhai Jan) as a gift of removal of triple talaq and Halala. This had fragmented Muslim Votes and men were against BJP, but the women were in support of BJP. With a view to distancing Muslim Women from Modi Bhai Jan, they made the face of demonstration against CAA at Shaheen Bagh which has sizable Muslim population which will make it easy for women to join the protests while remain connected with their home. Thus, the idea of Shaheen Bagh was to reunite the Muslim votes and cast them in bulk in favour of AAP. Indirectly AAP and especially its Muslim leaders funded the protests at Shaheen Bagh. Excellent arrangements are made for protesters at Shaheen Bagh in order to motivate them to stay for a long. It is evident that many protesters are from lower income group and daily wage earners who are reportedly paid suitably. Few English-speaking women in Burka are also available to speak to media if required. In order to ensure originality of the protests as per script, there is well managed and controlled system behind these women.
After victory of the AAP, “Mission Shaheen Bagh” is accomplished and gradually the sponsors and organizers are distancing themselves from Shaheen Bagh. Naturally after supply chain becomes dysfunctional, the protestors cannot stay, and the protest will also become dysfunctional. JNU, Jamia and AMU also performed well in their given roles for the cause, and now will become silent at least for some time on the one or the other grounds.
The AAP is happy on their victory which is very natural, and the Congress is happy on the defeat of BJP. Everybody in congress Sonia, Priyanka and Rahul are happy that they have stopped BJP coming to power. They do not know that what congress did in Delhi is suicidal and people of Delhi has bid the farewell to congress for ever. The role of congress in Delhi clearly underlines the fact that Congress itself is fulfilling the dream of PM Modi for “Congress Mukt Bharat”. A layman could understand that Congress can win election only in direct fight with BJP as happened in MP, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan, however, if it supports a third party to win over the BJP, it can never recapitulate the lost glory as happened in UP, Bihar, Jharkhand, WB, Maharashtra, AP, Telangana, Tamilnadu, Odisha etc.
The BJP has been out of power in Delhi state for the last 25 years, but the Congress was in power for 15 years just before AAP government came in. while the BJP has been able to get 5 more seats in direct fight in all the seats and increase vote share to 38%, Congress got vote less than 4% this time and was nowhere at number two.
The congress, in the entire episodes of CAA and Shaheen Bagh appears a biggest loser as it was working on simple appeasement politics which did not work against the well scripted, directed and narrated orchestration. Obviously, the Congress could not get Muslim votes. Its performance was too poor to get less than 4%, which lowest in the history of Congress. It not only failed to get any seat for the second consecutive assembly elections but also its 63 candidates, out of 66 lost their deposits. The data says that almost entire anti BJP votes have been garnered by AAP leaving congress for a guest appearance.
The BJP despite patriotic wave in their favour could not succeed to capture the power. However, their vote percentage increased by 6% to touch 38% as compared to last election. One peculiar statistic says that if the congress would have fought properly and would have secured roughly 20 % votes, the BJP would have been the winner. This is supported by the fact that the average votes of AAP and Congress is less than what BJP has got. The high vote percentage of AAP(56%) is indicative that it has eaten the Vote Bank of Congress. The logic is simple the loss of the congress is the gain of AAP.
The script writer, producer, director and all the artists of Shaheen Bagh deserve Hats off, if not from us, from all political leaders.
****************ShiveMishra********************
Footnotes

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